cut or not to cut

Anonymous-0

Well-known Member
Well the 2nd crop is ready to cut, just a few blossoms on now. so should I cut with this forcast or not??
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 6 mph.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7am. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81. Light wind becoming south southeast between 10 and 13 mph.
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 86.
Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Monday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 82.
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.
Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Wednesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 82.
 

With my luck with a 0 % chance of rain if I dont cut it will not rain , if I DO cut it will rain for 3 days , with a 98% chance of rain if I dont cut it will not rain , if I cut of course it will rain I can never figure it out I guess I should alays make high moisture hay
 
Well, if the weather guesser says that there is a 60 percent chance of rain and he is wrong 90 percent of the time what is the actual chance of rain????? your guess is probably as good as his if you pull up your local satellite weather charts and other weather forecasts and go from there.
 
I never watch the weather during hay seasons. If I listened to the weather man here I would never get half my hay up. I waited for 6 days once before watering my tobacco as the weather man was giving a 80 to 90% chance of rain every day. I fianally set the outfit and started watering. After 30 minutes the heavens opened up and rained 2 inches. It is just hard to out guess mother nature. Looks like you have a good forecast to me. There is always a chance of isolated thunder showers this time of year, here in Ky.
 
Thanks, I will cut on Friday, go to Grandsons birthday party Saturday, rake after church on Sunday and maybe bale right away. anyway, here is a picture taken just now as I was reading your responses. Bob
100_4752.jpg
 
Hay;; Scott, I think you are quite a ways south, If I cut and it rains up here you still will be dry. Bad as we think things are something is always worse. That bridge in MPLS was terrible. A miracle more were not hurt or killed. Bob
 
You're in the upper midwest- forecasts mean nothing. Trust your gut. You could have made 2 rounds in the time it took to compile those forecasts :<)
 
Even though weather forcasting is far from perfect having a weatherman show me what weather pattern is 3-4 states west of me is more accurate than my gut feeling. Chance of precipitation is only part of it; cloud cover, temperature, wind speed and direction, and humidity all play into hay drying. That being said I look at upto 4 different independent forcasts in the following order: weather.com, NWS, accuweather, and intellicast and if 2or 3 agree and I like what they say I"ll cut hay. Around here tv weather forcasts are geared toward beach travellers and are useless. Here on the east coast I wouldn"t cut with that forcast, partly cloudy and east wind doesn"t dry hay here. You"re in a different part of the country so maybe an east wind is a drying wind. I finished third cut alfalfa 2 weeks ago and it dried in 2 days when it normally takes 4. Light hay, no soil moisture, very little plant moisture, and decent drying conditions. Beautiful hay, just not enough of it.
 
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